Saturday, November 6, 2010

OU vs. A&M

Last Saturday the Sooners, predictably and thankfully, took care of bidness. At home (as usual) Lonnie looked all-world and the defense looked like it ate babies for breakfast. Of course they did. It was a home game.

Well today the big question is, "Can the Sooners put together a complete game on the road or will they look like assholes again?" On paper, this one presents a tremendous opportunity to do the former. A&M sucks but they are a more notable name than, say, Texas Tech, Baylor, K-State et al. A&M of course is the home of the 12th man even though that means less than ever. So, while A&M sucks, their cache' would make a victory look bigger than it is.

The worry is that A&M put in some guy named Tannehill last week, replacing the worst QB in the Big 12, Jerrod Johnson, and the Aggie offense showed signs of life. Of course the revived offense was playing a beleaguered Tech defense but still. Do they have newfound confidence? Will they play hard for Mike Sherman, the worst coaching hire in the last 5 years of the Big 12?

I'm scared shitless of early A&M offensive success combined with "Road Shaky" Lonnie. This is the worst case scenario. The best case scenario is seeing the Four-Headed Monster of DeMarco (now on a first name basis with Sooner Nation), Ryan Broyles, Kenny "Fuckin Shitbag" Stills and Roy Finch wreak havoc whilst the Sooner defense beats up on an unimaginative and stagnant Aggie offense.

I would love to favor the latter option and be able to say with no reservations that the Sooners will beat that ass today but I can't. The Sooners have shown that they are nothing less than shaky and completely untrustworthy away from Owen Field. So it goes.

On with the picks.

Offense
DeMarco is the leader of this team. He's the face of the franchise, the captain, Everybody's All American, etc. This Sooner team needs a statement win on the road, not for the national rankings so much as for their own psyche. DeMarco is the man who can put the team on his shoulders and deliver the goods. I can't even consider anyone else here.


Defense
Texas is the only game I've felt confident in my pick. Every other week it's like throwing darts. Navin nailed it last week when he said the Quinton M.F. Carter pick might be the worst of the M.F. era. But who should it have been? Nobody stands out on a weekly basis. We might need to come to grips with the fact that this Sooners defense could be the worst of the Bobby Stoops era. I need to go back and look to see when I predicted I would start calling for Brent Venables job. It happens every year about this time. Be on the lookout for inspired performances by the D from now through the Big 12 Championship. Then prepare yourself for the inevitable pant-shitting on national television that will define what ever bowl the Sooners land in. All that said I guess I'll pick Quinton M.F. Carter here. I mean, I haven't watched much tape of A&M but they seem to be more run-heavy than any other team in the conference. That means Q can help in the box and lay the lumber. Possibly. Hell I don't know. Quinton M.F. Carter is my defensive player of the game dammit.

The Score
I'm going to say the Sooners struggle to score points but they do halfway decent and A&M hits on some big plays early. I of course like the Sooners.

OU 28, A&M 14

Saturday, October 30, 2010

Colorado

I'll be honest, I'm having trouble getting my heart in this one. After beating us last week, Mizzou is shitting all over themselves in Nebraska right now. This basically confirms that the entire offseason was built around the theme, "Ruin Oklahoma's Season". Content with that result MU will likely proceed to lose 2-3 more games adding ammunition to the media's already loaded pistol that we aren't for real. In all fairness, we aren't for real. Our defense is piss poor.  

I want to say that we'll have revenge on our mind this week after losing last week and losing at Colorado a few years back. However, that's really a pipe dream. I imagine us coming out feeling entitled and going through the motions. I don't think we will pound these guys as much as I would like that. With the collective "vibe" here at the Steamroller officially being set on disgust, I move on to the picks.

Offense

I don't really know who to pick here, but I'm certainly not going with Lonnie. I'm beginning to have a strong distaste for the lad who appears physically incapable of playing in the clutch or anytime on the road. I hope for his sake that after he graduates he's never faced with needing to pray a busload of children off of an icy cliff because that's a certain tragedy and will likely bring in to question his ability to spread the gospel. I'm rambling, but suffice it to say that I'm fed up with him and the ministry plans only add to my general dislike for him. In that light, I am going to go with Roy Finch this week. I think he gets a serious taste of the football this week and I think he shines under the home lights. 

Defense

If I was unsure on the offensive side of the ball who to pick, I'm fucking baffled here. Nobody seems to step up, and Quinton Carter is quickly flying up to the top of most egregious MF award winners in our history. He's solid, but he hasn't dropped my jaw in some time. Although, on this defense solid basically is as good as it gets so maybe he's the right choice. What the hell, I'm going with him this week. Just decided it in this last sentence. I like him for a pick and shitload of tackles. 

I hate the multigenerational Hawkins attack as it beat us in embarrassing fashion the last time we met. I think they'll throw the playbook at us. But I imagine the talent discrepancy is too much for them to overcome on the road. I think we unimpressively win this at home. Like Mitch, I'm not confident and I think if it were in Boulder I'd be more worried. I think we do enough to win, Sooners take it 27-17.

Boomer to the Motherfuckin' Sooner

No Longer on Suicide Watch, Ready for Colorado

I don't have what it takes to revisit what happened in Columbia last week. Two reasons for this. First, I drank myself to bolivian and details are mercifully sketchy. Two, I don't watch game tape of losses. Let's just forget it and move on to what might be the most poorly attended home game in the Bob Stoops era (It's trick-or-treat night and the game won't be over until midnight). I'm hoping that at the very least some sluttily dressed co-eds decide to show for some pregame revelry.

I don't care if there are only 10 people there though, the Sooners better have a fire lit under their collective asses. Redemption is the only cure for yet another mistake-riddled offensive effort and an adjustmentless (pretty sure I just made this up) defensive gameplan on national television. Why do we use the national stage to play like assholes (Big 12 Championship games excepted)?

I'm scared nonetheless. Colorado is like a cornered and wounded dog. Perhaps more lapdog than Pit Bull but still. You never know what a team with a coach on the hotseat and nothing to lose is capable of. The good news is, of course, the game is in Norman. Also, Coach Dan Hawkins's son Cody is at QB. He sucks (even if he led the Buffs to victory in Boulder a few years back). These are advantages that cannot be overstated.

The Picks

Offense

I don't necessarily like a Lonnie pick here but I'm going to do it anyway. He needs to get back on track and fast. As we said at the beginning of the season, he's the key to the whole thing. Lots of things can happen around the country and the Sooners need a Lonnie that's right in the head the rest of the way. If I had to pick somewhere other than Lonnie I'd say Roy Finch only because I'm fully plugged in to that hype machine.

Defense

I was going to say I hope it's someone from the secondary but I think it's more important for someone from the line to, you know, maybe touch the quarterback this week. I'll say Jeremy Beal then because he's the only real choice here. He needs to set the tone and be the leader of that unit.

The Score

I'm just not real confident about this one. Still, I don't see how Colorado can hold our offense down at home (of course I didn't think we could shit ourselves to the extent we did last week either). Who knows what kind of defensive effort there will be. These guys should be so much better than the 80th ranked defense in the country. It makes no sense to me. Still, that's what they are. I imagine the coaching staff hung out in the shoulder pads of that whole group this week though and maybe they'll be eager to prove they aren't terrible. Of course I'm the biggest homer ever so I'm assuming the best in all cases.


OU 35 Colorado 17

Digging Through the Shit We Just Stepped In

Well, last week fucking sucked. As much as I had a bad feeling about it, I didn't want that feeling to be founded. It all but ends our national championship hopes and really changes the feel for a season that was beginning to have a pretty good one. Credit Missouri, they played a good game and didn't make many mistakes. Certainly not as many as we did in continuing our trend of the last few years and putting our worst foot forward on the biggest stage. Big Game Bob is about as current as a Mondale Ferraro campaign bumpersticker. I don't know that I can think of anyone who so solidly earned a nickname only to do a complete 180 in their career. Anyway, we've more or less discussed this before it just gets pretty old. I'm not sure what is tougher, having expectations that are never lived up to or having no expectations and exceeding them. I guess being a contender is the outwardly better way to go and probably what I would ultimately pick. Attending OU during the John Blake era makes it hard to want the alternative. However, as a Royals fan I almost get a sick pleasure out of expecting to lose, it's the fantasy of someday being relevant and it being that much sweeter. I guess the thing that bothers me the most is that I know we have the talent to win these games (OU I mean) and yet I expect to lose, or at the very least escape. I could run around this circle all day, but I'll cut it off here.

As for the game itself, we picked the worst possible week (and least survivable game) to play our worst game of the season. We knew we would get their best shot and while we weathered the early storm, we played to our season form and did absolutely nothing defensively in the fourth quarter. The fact that we were even in the game (leading in fact!!) after the turnovers, drops, missed field goals etc. is  testament to the talent discrepancy between our teams. We absolutely should have won...but we didn't. The good news is this game reminds me a of a very specific game between the Denver Broncos and Pittsburgh Steelers in 1997. Denver was good that year, damn good in fact and so were the Steelers. However, in the general public's mind there was a general consensus that Denver was superior (I'm a huge Broncos fan). Denver played a road game late in the season with home field advantage on the line in Pittsburgh. Denver played generally terribly that game. There were key drops on 3rd downs, turnovers and all sorts of uncharacteristic shit that they did in the game and ended up losing. I knew, just knew, they were better than the Steelers. So later that season in the playoffs, Denver went back to Pittsburgh with the AFC championship on the line. I had absolutely no doubt they were going to win that game. I couldn't fathom another mistake riddled performance like I'd seen earlier in the season. Of course Denver went on to win that game and the Super Bowl.

I'm not saying that OU is 1998 Denver, or even the league relative equivalent of this year. I just have that same feeling and have had all week. The feeling that if we were to meet them down the road we would beat them. I guess the point of this long digression is that I hope Missouri wins out, and we do too because I'd love to get a chance to stomp their nuts in the Big 12 title game and I think that is exactly what would happen.

As for Missouri, good for them that they finally won a big one, as for all of the rampant shit talking, it's telling that the biggest win in their program history came in their 7th game of the year (I had to get a dig in, fuckers).

One final positive note, how about Roy Finch? I now see why the coaches couldn't wait to get him back. While not our most consistent or best back by any stretch, he's instantly the most electrifying and biggest home run threat. That's no small feat when your putting him up against Murray. The future may not be this season for OU, but these young guys that are playing now certainly make it look promising. Now if we could just get the middle of our D-Line fixed.

I'll be back this afternoon for a look at Colorado, I just wanted to get this up before we move on.

Saturday, October 23, 2010

Missouri

Well, here we go in Columbia tonight. I really have a bad feeling about this one and have had all week. I think this is our toughest game all season, more than Texas even strictly because it's on the road. Also, even  though Cincy might as well have been a road game, technically that was a neutral site making this our first true road game. If you caught Gameday this morning the crowd looks to be for real (that was the biggest gameday turnout I can remember) and a day of pouring fuel (in this case: beer) on the fire will only make it that much rowdier. I think that Lonnie will struggle, and I think we will make some mistakes in the hurry up that you can credit the crowd for. I hope we can survive, because I absolutely can't envision handing them a beat down like we have in recent years.

All of that said, everyone has been talking all week about Mizzou's defense being number 2 and the matchup of that and our offense. No one seems to be mentioning our defense versus their offense. I think our defense is rounding in to form, and I think that is what will allow us win this game. Gabbert has been good but streaky, if we can force a couple of turnovers our offense will build on that momentum and that's the way we will get our points and keep them off of the field. I think we win today, because I always do, but I think we will struggle tremendously to pull this out. On to the picks...

Offense

I think today, as I've said roughly 1000 times, Lonnie will struggle. I see him turning the ball over at least once and for that reason I can't go with him (with that in mind, if he proves me wrong and takes over, then we win this one hands down). I think DeMarco has been talked about a lot this week, and I think he is the key to victory. I think the mix up of Mossis "my dog" Madu and Roy Finch takes a little pressure off DeMarco and as a result I think he adds to his TD record and carries us. I like DeMarco to break 100 on the ground and to make a few big catches out of the backfield. In doing so I think he emerges in the national spotlight some.

Defense

This is a huge road game, the sort of game that makes new stars (see: Tony Jefferson) and cements a players legacy. In that vein, I think it takes a veteran out there to really take over, block out all of the crowd and emotion, and dominate. I'm going with Travis "Old Steady" Lewis to have a big night. I think he quietly makes a dozen tackles, and not so quietly forces at least one turnover. He's ready, he's our most consistent defender, and he will step up.

I can't quit thinking back to the last time we went up to Mizzou, a game I attended with Mitchy, and how lucky we were to get out of there with a win. That team had Brad Smith who essentially owned us. They don't have a singular weapon like that now, but they are balanced, and for the first time in my memory they have a defense that seems half interested in stopping people. Those factors compounded with what I predict will be an absolutely insane crowd make this game a huge trap for us. There has been little of Mizzou's typical moronic smack talking, so I'm not sure we have the fire under us that we should (really hope I'm wrong there). However, as I said before, I think our defense carries us in this one and we win a low scoring affair late 17-14. I'm shitting bricks, but I have faith in our guys to step up in this one and shut rotten fuckfaces like Stewart Mandel and Desmond Howard (Corso kiss of death not withstanding) up. Let's destroy these shit fucks.

Boomer to the Motherfuckin' Sooner.

OU vs. The Mizz

I'll spare you the drama. I feel confident about this one. Not in a PlayStation domination sense but OU is the better squad. They have been tested both by the road and the competition. So yes, Mizzou is good, Columbia will be tough. But I believe Mizzou has more pressure on them. Or, they will be affected more easily by it. This will, in turn, lead to mistakes (dba turnovers). And turnovers, as any mouthbreather can attest, is the difference in games like this.

I do worry that the confidence Mizzou has in their defense could work in their favor if they have success early and they become buoyed by the crowd. The Mizzou offense could have some success against the OU defense. In fact, I'm certain they will.

Let's be real though. The OU offense is dynamic. I don't care how good Mizzou's defense is (and remember they have played NO ONE) they can't cover everyone on every play. Maybe OU won't run roughshod up and down the field all night but they will have their own share of success.

The question for OU's defense is whether or not they can get in Blaine Gabbert's head. If the D can't hit him can they at least make him rush his throws? It's not like Mizzou's offense is revolutionary. It isn't a one-off a la Air Force. Stopping Mizzou will come down to discipline in the secondary. Fortunately, the 2010 Sooner D seems to be pretty damn disciplined.

This game will be a bit of a shootout but OU is the better team across the board. I can't envision the Sooners getting rattled to the degree that the game gets out of reach. As the clock winds down and the pressure ratchets up, OU will show the value of having been there done that. Plus, the road team has the advantage of being afforded the "nothing to lose" mentality. So tell me in all seriousness how Mizzou wins?

The Picks

Offense
Losing DeJuan Miller for the season sucks. He was really coming into his own as a valuable possession receiver. Cameron Kenney will be replacing him and I'd love to tell you that Sooner Nation has confidence in him but I can't. This is a pretty big dropoff. Rather than Kenney stepping up (which is possible and would be awesome) I see Kenny "Fucking Shitbag" Stills stepping up. So I'm picking him for my offensive player. I would pick DeMarco Murray (and I'm sure he'll be quite deserving) but that's quickly becoming the easy way out.

Defense
I'm going with budding superstar and current badass, Tony Jefferson. All season long he's been beyond solid but this week he'll be in the running for Big 12 Player of the Week. He's going to be all over the place feasting on the spread offense. I'm feeling very good about this.

The Score
It's going to be close. There's going to be a lot of Offense. But in the end the Sooners come through.

OU 35 Mizzou 31

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

OU - ISU Hangover/Recap

Well, well, well, if it isn't our old friend Doomsday McGoo. I couldn't be more happy to see you. All is right in the universe.

The battle with Mizzou is going to be a huge test, no doubt. The Tigers bandwagon will be taking on new riders all week and this is a service to OU. I love how this is shaping up. The Sooners are healthy, confidence is sky high and everyone knows what is at stake. We'll hear nothing other than glowing reports of high energy, competitive practices and that the boys are ready to compete in a great way.

But before we set our sights on Saturday let's briefly recap the clinic that left Iowa State suckling hind teat.

Congrats to DeMarco Murray for passing Steve Owens for the all-time touchdown record. That is amazing. Murray is in rarefied air and, maybe it's just me, it seems like he's done all this fairly quietly. You'll get no argument from me that he's a badass. He broke a 40 year old record, overcame an injury plagued career and still has half a season left to add to his legacy. But if you polled Sooner fans would DeMarco make the list of top 5 OU running backs? Would people put him ahead of Billy Sims, Steve Owens, Joe Washington, AD, Greg Pruitt, BillyVessels, etc? He belongs somewhere in that group.

What of the gaudy numbers put up by Lonnie and Ryan Broyles? Lonnie 30-34 for 334 and half of those balls going Broyles's way for 182. Good grief. Iowa State sucks okay. But any Sooner fan should be quite pleased with anything that might give Lonnie as much confidence as possible. And what can you say about Broyles save that he's a badass.The ball he caught in traffic and the diving touchdown reception were both world class.

Roy Finch has something special. It's hard to compare him to anyone after a handful of carries but if I had to say anyone it would be Noel Devine. Finch is short and built like a brick shithouse. Lean more than a bowling ball. He has jets and gets to the second layer quickly. Then he's shifty and can finish with power. Considering he's been out 8 weeks with a foot injury he performed quite ably. Needless to say the future is bright.

Now on to Mizzou.